Regulation

Litecoin ETF Likely Next Spot Crypto ETF to Get SEC Nod; Bloomberg Analyst

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3 hours ago

January 16, 2025

A Litecoin ETF may be the next cryptocurrency ETF to be approved in the United States given the current circumstances. Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas made this prediction after Canary Capital filed an amended S-1 registration form in relation to its Litecoin ETF proposal.

Amended Litecoin ETF S-1 Filing Suggests SEC Engagement

Canary Capital had submitted the S-1 registration form for the Litecoin ETF with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in October 2024. On Wednesday, the company filed an amended version of this form. According to the filing, U.S. Bancorp Fund Services would act as the administrator of the ETF, while Coinbase Custody Trust and BitGo would act as the custodians for the Litecoin of the fund.

NEW: @CanaryFunds just filed an amended S-1 for their Litecoin ETF filing. No guarantees — but this might be indicative of SEC engagement on the filing. Still no 19b-4 filing yet though

(A 19b-4 would actually start the potential approval/denial clock) h/t @isabelletanlee pic.twitter.com/wFtNOmbmYx
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— James Seyffart (@JSeyff) January 15, 2025

Some of the industry watchers including the Bloomberg analysts have suggested that that the modification of the filing could be an indication of SEC’s interest. Another Bloomberg ETF analyst, James Seyffart pointed out that the amendment could mean the SEC has offered comments on the application. However, there has been no 19b-4 filing made, which is a formal application for rule change that initiates the approval process.

“We had heard chatter that the Litecoin S-1 had gotten comments back from [the] SEC,” said Balchunas in a post on X (formerly Twitter). He also said that this is in line with his earlier claim that Litecoin is ‘most likely’ to be the next cryptocurrency ETF in the United States.

New SEC Leadership Adds Uncertainty

The timing of the Litecoin ETF’s approval process could depend on upcoming changes in SEC leadership. Gary Gensler, the current SEC chair, is set to step down on Monday. Former SEC commissioner Paul Atkins, who has expressed support for the cryptocurrency sector in the past, has been nominated to lead the agency.

However, the Senate has yet to confirm Atkins’ appointment, and the exact timeline remains uncertain.

Balchunas emphasized that the leadership transition is a “huge variable” in the approval process for the Litecoin ETF.

Growing Interest in Spot Crypto ETFs

Created in 2011 as a more efficient version of Bitcoin, Litecoin is one of the oldest and most stable blockchains. Following the announcement, the price of Litecoin spiked by more than 18% to trade at $119.46 at the time of writing.

Analysts believe that the current bullish rally may break through the $130 barrier, with the LTC price prediction standing at $170. In addition, open interest increased by 29.58% to $575.39 million within the last 24 hours while the trading volume jumped significantly by 277.25% to $1.65 billion.

This excitement comes in the wake of the recent approval of U.S. spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in recent months. These products outperformed the market, which led to the growth of interest among issuers in the creation of ETFs for altcoins like Solana and XRP.

A recent JPMorgan and Hashkey research note suggested that new Solana and XRP ETFs could pull in $13.6bn of new funds if they are approved within six to 12 months. The introduction of altcoin ETFs such as Litecoin may also contribute to increased institutional investments in the cryptocurrency space.

Next Steps for Litecoin ETF Approval

Even though the amended S-1 filing marks a progress, there is no certainty as to when the approval of the Litecoin ETF will be completed. The submission of a 19b-4 application would formally kick off the SEC’s decision process but Canary Capital has not given any indication of when this would happen.

The original filing of Canary identified Litecoin as a blockchain that has had “100% uptime since its inception” noting its security and stability as strengths. Industry participants are now focused on the next steps, such as the SEC’s response and the possible 19b-4 filing, as the momentum for the approval of the Litecoin ETF picks up.