Altcoin

Altcoin Rally Won’t Happen Until 2025 As Bitcoin Eyes 60% Market Dominance

Published

4 weeks ago

October 17, 2024

While the Bitcoin (BTC) price has been eyeing a move above $70,000 recently, top altcoins like Ethereum (ETH), BNB, and Solana (SOL) have picked up much pace in this resurgence. Market analysts believe that it’s too early to call for an altcoin rally and might not happen in the fourth quarter of this year.

Don’t Expect An Altcoin Rally in Q4 2024, Here’s Why

Popular crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen stated that the current drop in the ALT/BTC pairs is mainly due to the drop in the net liquidity along with the strengthening of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). He believes that this trend will continue until 2025 while pushing the Bitcoin market dominance even higher this quarter.

Cowen predicts that BTC dominance will peak around 60% between September and December 2024, and might as well overshoot this milestone. He expects the dominance uptrend to end by early January 2025.

The reason #ALT / #BTC pairs are stuck in traffic on struggle street is because net liquidity is dropping (because #DXY is rallying).
I would not expect this trend to change until 2025, and is why #BTC dominance should keep going higher to reach the 60% milestone. pic.twitter.com/pVbykDtI0R
— Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) October 16, 2024

However, with the potential for interest rate cuts and the reintroduction of quantitative easing (QE), Cowen suggests that 2025 will bring about different market conditions that could shift the dynamics for altcoins. Here’s the list of some best altcoins to bet on before the rally begins.

Bitcoin Eyes 60% Market Dominance

As the odds of a Donald Trump victory in the upcoming US Presidential elections improve, analysts are hopeful that he might end the crypto regulatory headlock as seen during the Biden administration.

On the other hand, the demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs has skyrocketed this week clocking nearly $1.4 billion in inflows within the first three days of the week. The BlackRock Bitcoin ETF IBIT has been leading the pack taking its total inflows above $22.5 billion since inception in January. Vetle Lunde, the Head of Research at K33 Research writes:

“After super strong ETF flows lately, new milestones have been reached! Yesterday, U.S. spot ETFs surpassed 950,000 BTC under management, marking a new all-time high. These relentless flows have pushed global BTC ETP beyond 1.2m BTC for the first time”.

Another reason why Bitcoin dominates over altcoins is that the BTC whale transactions have reached their highest in over 10 weeks with 11,697 transfers exceeding $100,000 on Tuesday, earlier this week.

Furthermore, on-chain data provider Santiment reports that social media discussions have shifted heavily toward Bitcoin over altcoins, with the leading cryptocurrency accounting for more than a quarter of all crypto-related conversations. This comes as Bitcoin’s price surpassed $68,000 for the first time since July, drawing heightened attention from traders.